Překlad názvu: Measuring Extremes: Empirical Application on European Markets
Autoři: Öztürk, Durmuş ; Avdulaj, Krenar (vedoucí práce) ; Janda, Karel (oponent)
Typ dokumentu: Diplomové práce
Rok: 2015
Jazyk: eng
Abstrakt: This study employs Extreme Value Theory and several univariate methods to compare their Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall predictive performance. We conduct several out-of-sample backtesting procedures, such as uncondi- tional coverage, independence and conditional coverage tests. The dataset in- cludes five different stock markets, PX50 (Prague, Czech Republic), BIST100 (Istanbul, Turkey), ATHEX (Athens, Greece), PSI20 (Lisbon, Portugal) and IBEX35 (Madrid, Spain). These markets have different financial histories and data span over twenty years. We analyze the global financial crisis period sep- arately to inspect the performance of these methods during the high volatility period. Our results support the most common findings that Extreme Value Theory is one of the most appropriate risk measurement tools. In addition, we find that GARCH family of methods, after accounting for asymmetry and fat tail phenomena, can be equally useful and sometimes even better than Extreme Value Theory based method in terms of risk estimation. Keywords Extreme Value Theory, Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, Out-of-Sample Backtesting Author's e-mail ozturkdurmus@windowslive.com Supervisor's e-mail ies.avdulaj@gmail.com
Klíčová slova: Expected Shortfall; Extreme Value Theory; Out-of-Sample Backtesting; Value-at-Risk; Expected Shortfall; Extreme Value Theory; Out-of-Sample Backtesting; Value-at-Risk

Instituce: Fakulty UK (VŠKP) (web)
Informace o dostupnosti dokumentu: Dostupné v digitálním repozitáři UK.
Původní záznam: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11956/67272

Trvalý odkaz NUŠL: http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-336407


Záznam je zařazen do těchto sbírek:
Školství > Veřejné vysoké školy > Univerzita Karlova > Fakulty UK (VŠKP)
Vysokoškolské kvalifikační práce > Diplomové práce